Share:


Do financial inclusion and bank competition matter for banks’ stability in Asia?

    Wanying Song Affiliation
    ; Mian Gohar Rahman Zafar Affiliation
    ; Muhammad Amir Alvi Affiliation
    ; Qiang Wu Affiliation
    ; Maqsood Ahmad Affiliation

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of financial inclusion (FI), considering micro and macro indicators as well as micro- and macro-FI separately, on the stability of Asian banks and examines the moderating effect of bank competition (BC) on this relationship. Using data from 2011 to 2021, this study examines the relationship between FI, BC, and bank stability (BS). The hypotheses were tested using a “two-step system-GMM framework”. The findings were also authenticated using the panel OLS approach. The results indicate that FI (considering micro- and macro-indicators) and micro- and macroFI have significant positive effects on the stability of Asian banks. However, the impact of micro-FI is greater than that of macro-FI on the BS in Asia. Furthermore, the results manifest that BC has a significant positive impact on BS and positively moderates the relationship between micro-FI and BS, whereas it negatively moderates the relationship between macro-FI and BS. The findings of this study have practical implications for regulators, bankers, and policymakers involved in formulating strategies to enhance Asian banks’ stability.

Keyword : bank stability, financial inclusion, bank competition, and GMM

How to Cite
Song, W., Zafar, M. G. R., Alvi, M. A., Wu, Q., & Ahmad, M. (2024). Do financial inclusion and bank competition matter for banks’ stability in Asia?. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 30(5), 1457–1485. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2024.21787
Published in Issue
Aug 27, 2024
Abstract Views
355
PDF Downloads
451
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Abbas, F., & Masood, O. (2020). How do large commercial banks adjust capital ratios: empirical evidence from the US? Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 33(1), 1849–1866. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1763823

Atellu, A. R., & Muriu, P. W. (2022). Does financial inclusion enhance financial stability? Evidence from a developing economy. Transnational Corporations Review, 14(3), 297–311. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2021.2019555

Ahamed, M. M., & Mallick, S. K. (2019). Is financial inclusion good for bank stability? International evidence. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 157, 403–427. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2017.07.027

Ahmad, D. (2018). Financial inclusion and financial stability: Survey of the Nigeria’s financial system. International Journal of Research in Finance and Management, 1(2), 47–54. https://doi.org/10.33545/26175754.2018.v1.i2a.15

Akerlof, G. A. (1978). The market for “lemons”: Quality uncertainty and the market mechanism. In Uncertainty in economics (pp. 235–251). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-214850-7.50022-X

Al-Smadi, M. O. (2018). The role of financial inclusion in financial stability: Lesson from Jordan. Banks & Bank Systems, 13(4), 31–39. https://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.13(4).2018.03

Albaity, M., Mallek, R. S., & Noman, A. H. M. (2019). Competition and bank stability in the MENA region: The moderating effect of Islamic versus conventional banks. Emerging Markets Review, 38, 310–325. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2019.01.003

Ali, J., & Khan, M. A. (2020). Micro and Macro financial inclusion and their impacts on economic growth: Evidence from Asian economies with alternative approaches. International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies, 11(5), 1–15.

Alqahtani, F., & Mayes, D. G. (2018). Financial stability of Islamic banking and the global financial crisis: Evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council. Economic Systems, 42(2), 346–360. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2017.09.001

Allen, F., & Gale, D. (2000). Financial contagion. Journal of political Economy, 108(1), 1–33. https://doi.org/10.1086/262109

Alvi, M. A., Rafique, A., & Shehzad, K. (2020). Financial inclusion and bank stability controversy: Evidence from South Asian region. International Journal of Financial Engineering, 7(4), Article 2050038. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2424786320500383

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968

Bagehot, W., & Street, L. (1915). A description of the money market. Murray.

Bain, J. S. (1951). Relation of profit rate to industry concentration: American manufacturing, 1936–1940. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 65(3), 293–324. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882217

Baltagi, B. H. (2008). Forecasting with panel data. Journal of Forecasting, 27(2), 153–173. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.1047

Baltagi, B. H., Bratberg, E., & Holmås, T. H. (2005). A panel data study of physicians’ labor supply: The case of Norway. Health Economics, 14(10), 1035–1045. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.991

Barik, R., & Pradhan, A. K. (2021). Does financial inclusion affect financial stability: Evidence from BRICS nations? The Journal of Developing Areas, 55(1). https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.2021.0023

Banna, H., & Alam, M. R. (2021). Impact of digital financial inclusion on ASEAN banking stability: Implications for the post-Covid-19 era. Studies in Economics and Finance, 38(2), 504–523. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-09-2020-0388

Berger, A. N., & DeYoung, R. (1997). Problem loans and cost efficiency in commercial banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 21(6), 849–870. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(97)00003-4

Bikker, J. A., & Haaf, K. (2002). Competition, concentration and their relationship: An empirical analysis of the banking industry. Journal of Banking & Finance, 26(11), 2191–2214. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(02)00205-4

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8

Bofondi, M., & Gobbi, G. (2003). Bad loans and entry in local credit markets. (Economic working papers 509). Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

Boot, A. W., & Thakor, A. V. (2000). Can relationship banking survive competition? The Journal of Finance, 55(2), 679–713. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00223

Carlson, M., Correia, S., & Luck, S. (2022). The effect of banking competition on growth and financial stability: Evidence from the national banking era. Journal of Political Economy, 130(2), 462–520. https://doi.org/10.1086/717453

Chan, Y.-S., Greenbaum, S. I., & Thakor, A. V. (1986). Information reusability, competition and bank asset quality. Journal of Banking & Finance, 10(2), 243–253. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(86)90008-7

Chan, S.-G., Koh, E. H., Zainir, F., & Yong, C.-C. (2015). Market structure, institutional framework and bank efficiency in ASEAN 5. Journal of Economics and Business, 82, 84–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2015.07.002

Chinoda, T., & Kapingura, F. M. (2023). The impact of digital financial inclusion and bank competition on bank stability in sub-Saharan Africa. Economies, 11(1), Article 15. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11010015

Chinoda, T., & Kwenda, F. (2019). Do mobile phones, economic growth, bank competition and stability matter for financial inclusion in Africa? Cogent Economics Finance. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1622180

Chen, F.-W., Feng, Y., & Wang, W. (2018). Impacts of financial inclusion on non-performing loans of commercial banks: Evidence from China. Sustainability, 10(9), Article 3084. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10093084

Dako, A. G., Fiador, V., Agbloyor, E. K., & Abor, J. Y. (2021). Bank competition and financial inclusion: Evidence from Ghana. https://publication.aercafricalibrary.org/items/8dc351f6-3a80-4d1f-92d2-2b62cc69e1a7

Danisman, G. O., & Tarazi, A. (2020). Financial inclusion and bank stability: Evidence from Europe. The European Journal of Finance, 26(18), 1842–1855. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2020.1782958

Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2008). Finance, financial sector policies, and long-run growth (Working paper). World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-4469

Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Klapper, L. F. (2012). Measuring financial inclusion: The global findex database (Policy Research Working Paper 6025). World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6025

Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Klapper, L. F., Singer, D., & Van Oudheusden, P. (2015). The global findex database 2014: Measuring financial inclusion around the world (Policy Research Working Paper 7255). World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-7255

Diamond, D. W. (1984). Financial intermediation and delegated monitoring. The Review of Economic Studies, 51(3), 393–414. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297430

Diamond, D. W., & Dybvig, P. H. (1983). Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy, 91(3), 401–419. https://doi.org/10.1086/261155

Dienillah, A. A., Anggraeni, L., & Sahara, S. (2006). Impact of financial inclusion on financial stability based on income group countries. Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, 20(4), 429–442. https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v20i4.859

Doumpos, M., Hasan, I., & Pasiouras, F. (2017). Bank overall financial strength: Islamic versus conventional banks. Economic Modelling, 64, 513–523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2017.03.026

Fiordelisi, F., & Mare, D. S. (2014). Competition and financial stability in European cooperative banks. Journal of International Money and Finance, 45, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.02.008

Flannery, M. J., & Hankins, K. W. (2013). Estimating dynamic panel models in corporate finance. Journal of Corporate Finance, 19, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2012.09.004

Francis, B. B., Sun, X., Weng, C.-H., & Wu, Q. (2022). Managerial ability and tax aggressiveness. China Accounting and Finance Review, 24(1), 53–75. https://doi.org/10.1108/CAFR-02-2022-0002

Goldsmith, R. W. (1969). Financial structure and development.

Gujarati, D. (2008). Basic econometrics (pp. 363–369). MeGraw-Hill.

Hadad, M. D., Agusman, A., Monroe, G. S., Gasbarro, D., & Zumwalt, J. K. (2011). Market discipline, financial crisis and regulatory changes: Evidence from Indonesian banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(6), 1552–1562. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.11.003

Hall, A. (2005). Generalized method of moments. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1002/0471667196.ess0300.pub2

Hansen, L. P. (1982). Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 50(4), 1029–1054. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912775

Ha, D., & Nguyen, Y. (2023). Institutional quality’s influence on financial inclusion’impact on bank stability. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(1), Article 2190212. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2190212

Hakimi, A., Boussaada, R., & Karmani, M. (2022). Are financial inclusion and bank stability friends or enemies? Evidence from MENA banks. Applied Economics, 54(21), 2473–2489. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2021.1992342

Honohan, P. (2008). Cross-country variation in household access to financial services. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(11), 2493–2500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2008.05.004

Ijtsma, P., Spierdijk, L., & Shaffer, S. (2017). The concentration–stability controversy in banking: New evidence from the EU-25. Journal of Financial Stability, 33, 273–284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2017.06.003

Jungo, J., Madaleno, M., & Botelho, A. (2022). The effect of financial inclusion and competitiveness on financial stability: Why financial regulation matters in developing countries? Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(3), Article 122. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15030122

Keeley, M. C. (1990). Deposit insurance, risk, and market power in banking. The American Economic Review, 80(5), 1183–1200.

Khan, H. H., Kutan, A. M., Ahmad, R. B., & Gee, C. S. (2017). Does higher bank concentration reduce the level of competition in the banking industry? Further evidence from South East Asian economies. International Review of Economics & Finance, 52, 91–106. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2017.09.006

Kim, D.-W., Yu, J.-S., & Hassan, M. K. (2018). Financial inclusion and economic growth in OIC countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 43, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.178

Kouki, I., Abid, I., Guesmi, K., & Goutte, S. (2020). Does financial inclusion affect the African banking stability? Economics Bulletin, 40(1), 863–879.

Laeven, L., & Levine, R. (2009). Bank governance, regulation and risk taking. Journal of Financial Economics, 93(2), 259–275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.09.003

Marín, A. G., & Schwabe, R. (2019). Bank competition and financial inclusion: Evidence from Mexico. Review of Industrial Organization, 55(2), 257–285. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-018-9673-5

McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Brookings Institute.

Minh, S., Hong, V., Hoang, L., & Thuy, T. (2020). Does banking market power matter on financial stability? Management Science Letters, 10(2), 343–350. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.msl.2019.8.036

Mishkin, F. S. (1999). Financial consolidation: Dangers and opportunities. Journal of Banking & Finance, 23(2–4), 675–691. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(98)00084-3

Mohd Noor, N. H. H., Bakri, M. H., Wan Yusof, W. Y. R., Mohd Noor, N. R. A., & Abdullah, H. (2020). The determinants of bank regulations and supervision on the efficiency of Islamic banks in MENA Regions. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 7(12), 245–254. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no12.245

Morgan, P. J., & Pontines, V. (2018). Financial stability and financial inclusion: The case of SME lending. The Singapore Economic Review, 63(01), 111–124. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590818410035

Musau, S., Muathe, S., & Mwangi, L. (2018). Financial inclusion, bank competitiveness and credit risk of commercial banks in Kenya. International Journal of Financial Research, 9(1), 203–218. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v9n1p203

Nayyar, D. (2019). Resurgent Asia: Diversity in development. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198849513.001.0001

Ndebbio, J. E. U. (2004). Financial deepening, economic growth and development: Evidence from selected sub-Saharan African Countries. African Economic Research Consortium.

Neaime, S., & Gaysset, I. (2018). Financial inclusion and stability in MENA: Evidence from poverty and inequality. Finance Research Letters, 24, 230–237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2017.09.007

Nguyen, T. D., & Du, Q. L. T. (2022). The effect of financial inclusion on bank stability: Evidence from ASEAN. Cogent Economics & Finance, 10(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2040126

Nier, E. W. (2005). Bank stability and transparency. Journal of Financial Stability, 1(3), 342–354. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2005.02.007

Na’im, H., Subagiarta, I. W., Wibowo, R., & Wardhono, A. (2021). An empirical study of financial inclusion and financial system stability in ASEAN-4. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(7), 139–150.

Ofoeda, I., Mawutor, J. K. M., & Ohenebeng, D. N. F. H. (2024). Financial inclusion, institutional quality and bank stability: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa. International Economics and Economic Policy, 21, 27–64. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-023-00578-5

Owen, A. L., & Pereira, J. M. (2018). Bank concentration, competition, and financial inclusion. Review of Development Finance, 8(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.001

Ozili, P. K. (2018). Impact of digital finance on financial inclusion and stability. Borsa Istanbul Review, 18(4), 329–340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2017.12.003

Ozili, P. K. (2021). Financial inclusion research around the world: A review. Forum for Social Economics, 50(4), 457–479. https://doi.org/10.1080/07360932.2020.1715238

Pham, T. T. T., Nguyen, T. V. H., & Nguyen, K. (2019). Does bank competition promote financial inclusion? A cross-country evidence. Applied Economics Letters, 26(13), 1133–1137. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2018.1540833

Roengpitya, R., Tarashev, N. A., & Tsatsaronis, K. (2014). Bank business models. BIS Quarterly Review.

Roy, A. D. (1952). Safety first and the holding of assets. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 20(3), 431–449. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907413

Saha, M., & Dutta, K. D. (2020). Nexus of financial inclusion, competition, concentration and financial stability: Cross-country empirical evidence. Competitiveness Review: An International Business Journal, 31(4), 669–692. https://doi.org/10.1108/CR-12-2019-0136

Sakarombe, U. (2018). Financial inclusion and bank stability in Zimbabwe. Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 7(4), 121–138. https://doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v7-i4/5193

Sarma, M., & Pais, J. (2011). Financial inclusion and development. Journal of International Development, 23(5), 613–628. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.1698

Serrao, M. V., Sequeira, A., & Hans, B. (2012). Designing a methodology to investigate accessibility and impact of financial inclusion. Household finance e-journal-CMBO. SSRN. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2025521

Sparatt, S., & Stephen, N. (2013). Financial regulation in low income countries. Banking Growth with Stability.

Tonby, O., & Woetzel, J. (2020, April 8). Could the next normal emerge from Asia. McKinsey & Company.

Tan, Y., & Anchor, J. (2017). Does competition only impact on insolvency risk? New evidence from the Chinese banking industry. International Journal of Managerial Finance. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMF-06-2016-0115

Vo, D. H., Nguyen, N. T., & Van, L. T.-H. (2021). Financial inclusion and stability in the Asian region using bank-level data. Borsa Istanbul Review, 21(1), 36–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.06.003