Share:


Do economic growth and environment quality contribute to tourism development in EU countries? A panel data analysis

    Daniel Badulescu   Affiliation
    ; Ramona Simut   Affiliation
    ; Ioana Mester   Affiliation
    ; Simona Dzitac Affiliation
    ; Mariana Sehleanu   Affiliation
    ; Dorin Paul Bac Affiliation
    ; Alina Badulescu   Affiliation

Abstract

The positive impact of the tourism industry on economic growth, revenues, infrastructure, employment, social inclusion and poverty reduction, although widely recognised, has been lately weighted against the appearance and exacerbation of several problems, such as: environmental footprint, increase of income inequality, cost increases related to solid waste collection, energy consumption, increased global CO2 emissions. On the other hand, the tourism sector is not just an active economic, societal, or environmental change agent; in turn, the tourism sector supports or is highly influenced by various factors, such as climate change, economic, political, or social factors. More recently, this industry has been highly impacted by the pandemic, technological developments and cultural trends. In this article we examined both the short and long-run relationship between tourism development and economic growth, CO2 emissions and energy consumption in European Union member states (EU27), by using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) technique and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for panel data. The findings suggest that economic growth and energy consumption have a statistically significant impact on the tourism index both in the short and long-run, whereas CO2 emissions only have a significant impact upon the tourism index on the long run.

Keyword : international tourism, economic growth, environment, Autoregressive Distributed Lag, Principal Component Analysis

How to Cite
Badulescu, D., Simut, R., Mester, I., Dzitac, S., Sehleanu, M., Bac, D. P., & Badulescu, A. (2021). Do economic growth and environment quality contribute to tourism development in EU countries? A panel data analysis. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 27(6), 1509-1538. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2021.15781
Published in Issue
Nov 18, 2021
Abstract Views
1335
PDF Downloads
1019
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Ahmad, F., Draz, M., Su, L., Ozturk, I., & Rauf, A. (2018). Tourism and environmental pollution: Evidence from the one belt one road provinces of Western China. Sustainability, 10(10), 3520. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10103520

Alam, S., & Paramati, S. (2016). The impact of tourism on income inequality in developing economies: Does Kuznets curve hypothesis exist? An-nals of Tourism Research, 61, 111–126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2016.09.008

Apergis, N., & Payne, J. (2012). Tourism and growth in the Caribbean – Evidence from a panel error correction model. Tourism Economics, 18(2), 449–456. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2012.0119

Arslanturk, Y., & Atan, S. (2012). Dynamic relation between economic growth, foreign exchange and tourism incomes: An econometric perspec-tive on Turkey. Journal of Business Economics & Finance, 1(1), 30–37. Retrieved October 6, 2020, from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/jbef/issue/32421/360527

Aslan, A. (2014). Tourism development and economic growth in the Mediterranean countries: Evidence from panel Granger causality tests. Current Issues in Tourism, 17(4), 363–372. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2013.768607

Azam, M., Mahmudul Alam, M., & Haroon Hafeez, M. (2018). Effect of tourism on environmental pollution: Further evidence from Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. Journal of Cleaner Production, 190, 330–338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.04.168

Badulescu, A., Badulescu, D., & Simut, R. (2018). The complex relationship between international tourism demand and economic growth: An analysis on Central and Eastern European economies. Amfiteatru Economic, 20(12), 935–950. https://doi.org/10.24818/EA/2018/S12/935

Badulescu, A., Badulescu, D., Simut, R., & Dzitac, S. (2020). Tourism – economic growth nexus. The case of Romania. Technological and Eco-nomic Development of Economy, 26(4), 867–884. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2020.12532

Bakker, M., & Messerli, H. (2017). Inclusive growth versus pro-poor growth: Implications for tourism development. Tourism and Hospitality Research, 17(4), 384–391. https://doi.org/10.1177/1467358416638919

Balaguer, J., & Cantavella-Jordá, M. (2002). Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: The Spanish case. Applied Economics, 34(7), 877–884. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840110058923

Băndoi, A., Jianu, E., Enescu, M., Axinte, G., Tudor, S., & Firoiu, D. (2020). The relationship between development of tourism, quality of life and sustainable performance in EU countries. Sustainability, 12(4), 1628. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12041628

Bayramoğlu, T., & Arı, Y. (2015). The relationship between tourism and economic growth in Greece economy: A time series analysis. Computa-tional Methods in Social Sciences, 3(1), 89–93. https://ideas.repec.org/a/ntu/ntcmss/vol3-iss1-15-089.html

Bento, J. (2016). Tourism and economic growth in Portugal: An empirical investigation of causal links. Tourism & Management Studies, 12(1), 164–171. https://doi.org/10.18089/tms.2016.12117

Brida, J., Monterubbianesi, P., & Zapata-Aguirre, S. (2011). The impacts of tourism on economic growth and development: The case of the main Colombian destinations. PASOS. Revista de Turismo y Patrimonio Cultural, 9(2), 291–303. http://www.pasosonline.org/Publicados/9211/PASOS24.pdf

Buckley, R. (2012). Sustainable tourism: Research and reality. Annals of Tourism Research, 39(2) 528–546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2012.02.003

Butler, R. (1999). Sustainable tourism: A state-of-the-art review. Tourism Geographies, 1(1), 7–25. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616689908721291

Cadarso, M., Gómez, N., López, L., Tobarra, M., & Zafrilla, J. (2015). Quantifying Spanish tourism’s carbon footprint: The contributions of resi-dents and visitors: A longitudinal study. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 23(6), 922–946. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1008497

Çağlayan, E., Şak, N., & Karymshakov, K. (2012). Relationship between tourism and economic growth: A Panel Granger Causality approach. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2(5), 591–602. http://www.aessweb.com/pdf-files/591-602.pdf

Canteiro, M., Córdova-Tapia, F., & Brazeiro, A. (2018). Tourism impact assessment: A tool to evaluate the environmental impacts of touristic ac-tivities in Natural Protected Areas. Tourism Management Perspectives, 28, 220–227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2018.09.007

Cárdenas-García, P., Sánchez-Rivero, M., & Pulido-Fernández, J. (2015). Does tourism growth influence economic development? Journal of Travel Research, 54(2), 206–221. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287513514297

Cattell, R. (1966). The scree test for the number of factors. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 1(2), 245–276. https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327906mbr0102_10

Chou, M. (2013). Does tourism development promote economic growth in transition countries? A panel data analysis. Economic Modelling, 33, 226–232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.024

Corbet, S., O’Connell, J., Efthymiou, M., Guiomard, C., & Lucey, B. (2019). The impact of terrorism on European tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, 75, 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2018.12.012

Cortés-Jiménez, I., Pulina, M., Riera i Prunera, C., & Artis, M. (2009). Tourism and Exports as a means of Growth (IREA Working Papers 200910). University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics. https://ideas.repec.org/p/ira/wpaper/200910.html

Cvelbar, L., Dwyer, L., Koman, M., & Mihalič, T. (2016). Drivers of destination competitiveness in tourism. Journal of Travel Research, 55(8), 1041–1050. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287515617299

de Lange, D., & Dodds, R. (2017). Increasing sustainable tourism through social entrepreneurship. International Journal of Contemporary Hospi-tality Management, 29(7), 1977–2002. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCHM-02-2016-0096

De Vita, G., & Kyaw, K. (2016). Tourism development and growth. Annals of Tourism Research, 60, 23–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2016.05.011

Dickey, D., & Fuller, W. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427–431. https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348

Dogru, T., & Bulut, U. (2018). Is tourism an engine for economic recovery? Theory and empirical evidence. Tourism Management, 67, 425–434. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2017.06.014

Dritsakis, N. (2004). Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: An empirical investigation for Greece using causality analysis. Tourism Eco-nomics, 10(3), 305–316. https://doi.org/10.5367/0000000041895094

Droj, L., Droj, G., & Ban, O. (2020, May 4–6). Geospatial and financial analysis of the tourism sector in Romania. In 25th Biennial International Congress. Tourism & Hospitality Industry 2020, Trends and Challenges, Opatija, Croatia. Congress Proceedings (pp. 92–106). Faculty of Tourism & Hospitality Management, University of Rijeka. https://www.cabdirect.org/cabdirect/abstract/20210089205

Dubois, G., Peeters, P., Ceron, J., & Gössling, S. (2011). The future tourism mobility of the world population: Emission growth versus climate policy. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 45(10), 1031–1042. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2009.11.004

Dumitrescu, E., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014

Durbarry, R. (2004). Tourism and economic growth: The case of Mauritius. Tourism Economics, 10(4), 389–401. https://doi.org/10.5367/0000000042430962

Earth Changers. (2019). Sustainable energy. Retrieved May 08, 2021, from https://www.earth-changers.com/purpose/sustainable-energy

Evanthie, M. (2008). Using renewable energy as a tool to achieve tourism sustainability in Mediterranean islands. Études caribéennes, 11. https://doi.org/10.4000/etudescaribeennes.3487

Fantinato, F. (2019). The impact of (mass) tourism on coastal dune pollination networks. Biological Conservation, 236, 70–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.05.037

Field, A. (2000). Discovering statistics using SPSS for Windows. Sage Publications. http://index-of.co.uk/Discovering-Statistics/Field2000(Chapter1).pdf

Freudenberg, M. (2003). Composite indicators of country performance: A critical assessment (STI Working Paper 2003/16). Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/273697960_Composite_Indicators_of_Country_Performance_A_Critical_Assessment

Gavrilut, D. (2018). Innovation as part of European development. In Emerging Markets Economics and Business. Contributions of Young Re-searchers. Proceedings of the 9th International Conference of Doctoral Students and Young Researchers (pp. 121–124). http://steconomiceuoradea.ro/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Volum-doctoranzi-2018.pdf

Gössling, S. (2002). Global environmental consequences of tourism. Global Environmental Change, 12(4), 283–302. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00044-4

Gössling, S., & Peeters, P. (2015). Assessing tourism’s global environmental impact 1900–2050. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 23(5), 639–659. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1008500

Granger, C. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912791

Greco, G., Cenciarelli, V., & Allegrini, M. (2018). Tourism’s impacts on the costs of municipal solid waste collection: Evidence from Italy. Journal of Cleaner Production, 177, 62–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.12.179

Gunduz, L., & Hatemi-J, A. (2005). Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey? Applied Economics Letters, 12(8), 499–504. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850500109865

Hair, J., Anderson, R., Tatham, R., & Black, W. (1995). Multivariate data analysis (4th ed.). Prentice-Hall Inc. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/207590

Hair, J., Black, W., Babin, B., & Anderson, R. (2010). Multivariate data analysis: A global perspective (7th ed.). Pearson. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/237009923_Multivariate_Data_Analysis_A_Global_Perspective

Hotelling, H. (1933). Analysis of a complex of statistical variables into principal components. Journal of Educational Psychology, 24(6), 417–441. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0071325

Hye, Q., & Khan, R. (2013). Tourism-led growth hypothesis: A case study of Pakistan. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, 18(4), 303–313. https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2012.658412

Ilieş Al., Dehoorne, O., & Ilieş, D. C. (2012), The cross-border territorial system in Romanian-Ukrainian Carpathian Area. Elements, mechanisms and structures generating premises for an integrated cross-border territorial system with tourist function. Carpathian Journal of Environmental Sciences, 7(1), 27–38. https://www.academia.edu/10711435/The_Cross-Border_territorial_system_in_Romanian-Ukrainian_Carpathian_area._Elements_mechanisms_and_structures_generating_premises_for_an_integrated_cross-border_territorial_system_with_tourist_function

Indrawati, S. M. (2015). What you need to know about energy and poverty. Retrived May 09, 2021, from https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/what-you-need-know-about-energy-and-poverty

Jackman, M. (2012). Revisiting the tourism-led growth hypothesis for Barbados: A disaggregated market approach. Regional and Sectoral Eco-nomic Studies, 12(2), 15–26. https://ideas.repec.org/a/eaa/eerese/v12y2012i2_3.html

Jalil, A., Mahmood, T., & Idrees, M. (2013). Tourism-growth nexus in Pakistan: Evidence from ARDL bounds tests. Economic Modelling, 35, 185–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.06.034

Jayathilake, P. (2013). Tourism and economic growth in Sri Lanka: Evidence from cointegration and causality analysis. International Journal of Business, Economics and Law, 2(2), 22–27. http://ijbel.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/Tourism-And-Economic-Growth-In-Sri-Lanka-%E2%80%93-Evidence-From-Cointegration-And-Causality-Analysis-P.M.-Bandula-Jayathilake.pdf

Jebli, M., & Hadhri, W. (2018). The dynamic causal links between CO2 emissions from transport, real GDP, energy use and international tourism. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 25(6), 568–577. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2018.1434572

Jolliffe, I. (2002). Principal component analysis (2nd ed.). Springer-Verlag Press.

Jolliffe, I., & Cadima, J. (2016). Principal component analysis: A review and recent developments. Philosophical Transactions. Series A, Mathe-matical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences, 374(2065), 20150202. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2015.0202

Kaiser, H. (1960). The application of electronic computers to factor analysis. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 20(1), 141–151. https://doi.org/10.1177/001316446002000116

Kaiser, H. (1974). An index of factorial simplicity. Psychometrika, 39, 31–36. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02291575

Kasimati, E. (2011). Economic impact of tourism on Greece’s economy: cointegration and causality analysis. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 79, 79–85. http://www.internationalresearchjournaloffinanceandeconomics.com/ISSUES/IRJFE_Issue_79.htm

Katircioglu, S. (2009a). Tourism, trade and growth: The case of Cyprus. Applied Economics, 41(21), 2741–2750. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840701335512

Katircioglu, S. (2009b). Revising the tourism-led-growth hypothesis for Turkey using the bounds test and Johansen approach for cointegration. Tourism Management, 30(1), 17–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2008.04.004

Katircioglu, S., Feridun, M., & Kilinc, C. (2014). Estimating tourism-induced energy consumption and CO2 emissions: The case of Cyprus. Re-newable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 29, 634–640. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.09.004

Katsoni, V. (2017). An investigation into the sharing economy phenomenon in the Greek tourism industry in the accommodation sector. Journal of Tourism and Regional Development, 7, 5–12. https://scholar.google.co.th/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=th&user=Go8djJwAAAAJ&citation_for_view=Go8djJwAAAAJ:z_wVstp3MssC

Khan, A., Bibi, S., Lorenzo, A., Lyu, J., & Babar, Z. (2020a). Tourism and development in developing economies: A policy implication perspec-tive. Sustainability, 12(4), 1618. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12041618

Khan, A., Bibi, S., Ardito, L., Lyu, J., Hayat, H., & Arif, A. (2020b). Revisiting the dynamics of tourism, economic growth, and environmental pollutants in the emerging economies – Sustainable tourism policy implications. Sustainability, 12(6), 2533. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12062533

Kim, H., Chen, M.-H., & Jang, S. (2006). Tourism expansion and economic development: The case of Taiwan. Tourism Management, 27(5), 925–933. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2005.05.011

Köberl, J., Prettenthaler, F., & Bird, D. (2016). Modelling climate change impacts on tourism demand: A comparative study from Sardinia (Italy) and Cap Bon (Tunisia). Science of the Total Environment, 543(part B), 1039–1053. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.03.099

Koçak, E., Ulucak, R., & Ulucak, Z. (2020). The impact of tourism developments on CO2 emissions: An advanced panel data estimation. Tourism Management Perspectives, 33, 100611. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2019.100611

Kort, P., Greiner, A., Feichtinger, G., Haunschmied, J., Novak, A., & Hartl, R. (2002). Environmental effects of tourism industry investments: an intertemporal trade-off. Optimal Control Applications and Methods, 23(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1002/oca.692

Kožić, I. (2019). Can tourism development induce deterioration of human capital? Annals of Tourism Research, 77, 168–170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2018.12.018

Larouse, D. (2006). Data mining. Methods and models. John Wiley & Sons. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/book/10.1002/0471756482

Lebart, L., Piron, M., & Morineau, A. (2006). Statistique exploratoire multidimensionnelle. Visualisation et inférence en fouille de données (4th ed.). Dunod. https://www.dunod.com/sciences-techniques/statistique-exploratoire-multidimensionnelle-visualisation-et-inference-en

Lee, C.-C., & Chang, C.-P. (2008). Tourism development and economic growth: A closer look at panels. Tourism Management, 29(1), 180–192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2007.02.013

Levin, A., Lin, C., & Chu, C. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7

Liu, J., Zhang, J., & Fu, Z. (2017). Tourism eco-efficiency of Chinese coastal cities – Analysis based on the DEA-Tobit model. Ocean & Coastal Management, 148, 164–170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2017.08.003

Lu, C., Li, W., Pang, M., Xue, B., & Miao, H. (2018). Quantifying the economy-environment interactions in tourism: Case of Gansu Province, China. Sustainability, 10(3), 711. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10030711

Madiyarova, A., Ziyadin, S., Blembayeva, A., & Doszhan, R. (2018). Modern trends in digitalization of tourism industry. In Proceedings of the 32nd International Business Information Management Association Conference, IBIMA 2018 – Vision 2020: Sustainable Economic Development and Application of Innovation Management from Regional expansion to Global Growth (pp. 7990–7997).

Martin-Rios, C. (2019). Sustainable tourism: The 10 most important trends in 2020. Retrieved October 2, 2020, from https://hospitalityinsights.ehl.edu/sustainable-tourism-trends

Mathew, P., & Sreejesh, S. (2017). Impact of responsible tourism on destination sustainability and quality of life of community in tourism destina-tions. Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management, 31, 83–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhtm.2016.10.001

Meleddu, M., Royuela, V., Biagi, B., & Ladu, M. (2015). Tourism and quality of life: A capability approach (Working Paper CRENoS 201519). Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia. https://ideas.repec.org/p/cns/cnscwp/201519.html

Meng, W., Xu, L., Hu, B., Zhou, J., & Wang, Z. (2016). Quantifying direct and indirect carbon dioxide emissions of the Chinese tourism industry. Journal of Cleaner Production, 126, 586–594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.03.067

Mishra, P., Rout, H., & Mohapatra, S. (2011). Causality between tourism and economic growth: Empirical evidence from India. European Journal of Social Sciences, 18(4), 518–527. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/280305614_Causality_between_tourism_and_economic_growth_Empirical_evidence_from_india

Ng, T., Lye, C., & Lim, Y. (2016). A decomposition analysis of CO2 emissions: Evidence from Malaysia’s tourism industry. Internationl Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 23(3), 266–277. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2015.1117534

OECD. (2020a). OECD tourism trends and policies 2020. Retrieved July 12, 2020, from https://doi.org/10.1787/6b47b985-en

OECD. (2020b). Rebuilding tourism for the future: COVID-19 policy responses and recovery. Retrieved January 20, 2021, from http://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/policy-responses/rebuilding-tourism-for-the-future-covid-19-policy-responses-and-recovery-bced9859/

Oh, C.-O. (2005). The contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the Korean economy. Tourism Management, 26(1), 39–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2003.09.014

Ohlan, R. (2017). The relationship between tourism, financial development and economic growth in India. Future Business Journal, 3(1), 9–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fbj.2017.01.003

Omri, A., Shahbaz, M., Chaibi, A., & Rault, C. (2015). A panel analysis of the effects of oil consumption, international tourism, environmental quality and political instability on economic growth in MENA region (Working Paper 2015–613). Department of Research, Ipag Business School, Paris. https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipg/wpaper/2015-613.html

Ongan, S., & Demiroz, D. (2005). The contribution of tourism to the long-run Turkish economic growth. Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Eco-nomics), 53(9), 880–894. http://cejsh.icm.edu.pl/cejsh/element/bwmeta1.element.9ad9f1f3-3f76-340f-b771-2f191e29997e

Ozturk, I. (2016). The relationships among tourism development, energy demand, and growth factors in developed and developing countries. In-ternational Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 23(2), 122–131. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2015.1092000

Ozturk, I., & Acaravci, A. (2009). On the causality between tourism growth and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Turkey. Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences, 25(5), 73–81. https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/193/189

Pablo-Romero, M., Pozo-Barajas, R., & Sánchez-Rivas, J. (2017). Relationships between tourism and hospitality sector electricity consumption in Spanish Provinces (1999–2013). Sustainability, 9(4), 480. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9040480

Page, S., Yeoman, I., Munro, C., Connell, J., & Walker, L. (2006). A case study of best practice – visit Scotland’s prepared response to an influ-enza pandemic. Tourism Management, 27(3), 361–393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2006.01.001

Pallant, J. (2013). SPSS survival manual. A step by step guide to data analysis using SPSS (5th ed.). Allen & Unwin. www.allenandunwin.com/spss

Papatheodorou, A., Rosselló, J., & Xiao, H. (2010). Global economic crisis and tourism: Consequences and perspectives. Journal of Travel Re-search, 49(1), 39–45. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287509355327

Pappas, N., & Papatheodorou, A. (2017). Tourism and the refugee crisis in Greece: Perceptions and decision-making of accommodation providers. Tourism Management, 63, 31–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2017.06.005

Paramati, S., Shahbaz, M., & Alam, M. (2017). Does tourism degrade environmental quality? A comparative study of Eastern and Western Euro-pean Union. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 50, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2016.10.034

Payne, J., & Mervar, A. (2010). Research note: The tourism–growth nexus in Croatia. Tourism Economics, 16(4), 1089–1094. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2010.0014

Pearson, K. (1901). On lines and planes of closest fit to systems of points in space. The London, Edinburgh. and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 2(11), 559–572. https://doi.org/10.1080/14786440109462720

Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogenous panels with multiple regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statis-tics, 61(S1), 653–670. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1653

Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel cointegration: Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests, with an application to the PPP hypothe-sis. Econometric Theory, 20(3), 597–625. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/econometric-theory/article/panel-cointegration-asymptotic-and-finite-sample-properties-of-pooled-time-series-tests-with-an-application-to-the-ppp-hypothesis/F31DA49F3109F20315298A97EB46A47E

Pesaran, M., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621–634. https://doi.org/10.2307/2670182

Pesaran, M., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616

Phillips, P., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335

Qiu, X., Fang , Y., Yang, X., & Zhu, F. (2017). Tourism eco-efficiency measurement, characteristics, and its influence factors in China. Sustaina-bility, 9(9), 1634. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9091634

Rao, C. (1964). The use and interpretation of principal component analysis in applied research. Sankhyā: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Series A (1961–2002), 26(4), 329–358. Retrieved March 13, 2021, from http://www.jstor.org/stable/25049339

Rauf, A., Liu, X., Amin, W., Ozturk, I., Rehman, O., & Sarwar, S. (2018). Energy and ecological sustainability: challenges and panoramas in belt and road initiative countries. Sustainability, 10(8), 2743. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10082743

Ren, T., Can, M., Paramati, S., Fang, J., & Wu, W. (2019). The impact of tourism quality on economic development and environment: Evidence from Mediterranean countries. Sustainability, 11(8), 2296. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11082296

Risso, W., & Brida, J. (2009). The contribution of tourism to economic growth: An empirical analysis for the case of Chile. European Journal of Tourism Research, 2(2), 178–185. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1298404

Ritchie, B., & Jiang, Y. (2019). A review of research on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management: Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management. Annals of Tourism Research, 79, 102812. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2019.102812

Ritchie, J., & Crouch, G. (2003). The competitive destination: A sustainable tourism perspective. Wallingford, U.K.: CABI. https://doi.org/10.1079/9780851996646.0000

Rivera, M. A. (2017). The synergies between human development, economic growth, and tourism within a developing country: An empirical model for Ecuador. Journal of Destination Marketing & Management, 6(3), 221–232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdmm.2016.04.002

Saenz-de-Miera, O., & Rossello, J. (2014). Modeling tourism impacts on air pollution: The case study of PM10 in Mallorca. Tourism Manage-ment, 40, 273–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2013.06.012

Sanchez Carrera, E., Brida, J., & Risso, W. (2008). Tourism’s impact on long-run Mexican economic growth. Economics Bulletin, 23(21), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1076225

Selimi, N., Sadiku, L., & Sadiku, M. (2017). The impact of tourism on economic growth in the Western Balkan countries: An empirical analysis. International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research, 10(2), 19–25. https://doi.org/10.25103/ijbesar.102.02

Serrano-Bernardo, F. A., Bruzzi, L., Toscano, E. H., & Rosúa-Campos, J. L. (2012). Pollutants and greenhouse gases emissions produced by tourism life cycle: Possible solutions to reduce emissions and to introduce adaptation measures. IntechOpen. https://doi.org/10.5772/50418

Sghaier, A., Guizani, A., Ben Jabeur, S., & Nurunnabi, M. (2019). Tourism development, energy consumption and environmental quality in Tuni-sia, Egypt and Morocco: A trivariate analysis. GeoJournal, 84, 593–609. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-018-9878-z

Sherafatian-Jahromi, R., Othman, M., Law, S., & Ismail, N. (2017). Tourism and CO2 emissions nexus in Southeast Asia: New evidence from panel estimation. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 19, 1407–1423. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-016-9811-x

Shuai, C., Chen, X., Wu, Y., Tan, Y., Zhang, Y., & Shen, L. (2018). Identifying the key impact factors of carbon emission in China: Results from a largely expanded pool of potential impact factors. Journal of Cleaner Production, 175, 612–623. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.12.097

Sigala, M. (2020). Tourism and COVID-19: Impacts and implications for advancing and resetting industry and research. Journal of Business Re-search, 117, 312–321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.06.015

Sio-Chong, U., & Yuk-Chow, S. (2020). The impacts of financial and non-financial crises on tourism: Evidence from Macao and Hong Kong. Tourism Management Perspectives, 33, 100628. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2019.1006288

Sönmez, S. (1998). Tourism, terrorism, and political instability. Annals of Tourism Research, 25(2), 416–456. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0160-7383(97)00093-5

Srinivasan, P., Kumar, P., & Ganesh, L. (2012). Tourism and economic growth in Sri Lanka: An ARDL bounds testing approach. Environment and Urbanization Asia, 3(2), 397–405. https://doi.org/10.1177/0975425312473234

Steiger, R., & Scott, D. (2020). Ski tourism in a warmer world: Increased adaptation and regional economic impacts in Austria. Tourism Manage-ment, 77, 104032. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2019.104032

Su, Y., Cherian, J., Sial, M., Badulescu, A., Thu, P., Badulescu, D., & Samad, S. (2021). Does tourism affect economic growth of China? A panel granger causality approach. Sustainability, 13(3), 1349. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13031349

Tang, C., & Tan, E. (2015). Does tourism effectively stimulate Malaysia’s economic growth? Tourism Management, 46, 158–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2014.06.020

Tang, C., & Tan, E. (2017). Tourism-led growth hypothesis: A new global evidence. Cornell Hospitality Quarterly, 59(3), 304–311. https://doi.org/10.1177/1938965517735743

Tang, Z., Shang, J., Shi, C., Liu, Z., & Bi, K. (2014). Decoupling indicators of CO2 emissions from the tourism industry in China: 1990–2012. Ecological Indicators, 46, 390–397. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.06.041

Thadewald, T., & Büning, H. (2007). Jarque–Bera test and its competitors for testing normality – A power comparison. Journal of Applied Statis-tics, 34(1), 87–105. https://doi.org/10.1080/02664760600994539

The World Bank. (2020). World Bank Open Data. Retrieved April 20, 2020, from https://data.worldbank.org/

Tugcu, C. (2014). Tourism and economic growth nexus revisited: A panel causality analysis for the case of the Mediterranean Region. Tourism Management, 42, 207–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2013.12.007

Tugcu, C., & Topcu, M. (2018). The impact of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions on tourism: Does the source of emission matter? Theoretical and Applied Economics, XXV, 125–136. http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1324.pdf

Wold, S., Esbensen, K., & Geladi, P. (1987). Principal component analysis. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 2(1–3), 37–52. https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-7439(87)80084-9

World Tourism Organization. (2018). UNWTO Annual report 2017. Retrieved July 17, 2020, from https://www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/9789284419807

World Tourism Organization. (2019). Transport-related CO2 emissions of the tourism sector. Modelling results. Retrieved July 20, 2020, from https://www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/9789284416660

World Tourism Organization. (2020a). Global tourism dashboard. Global and regional tourism performance. Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://www.unwto.org/global-and-regional-tourism-performance

World Tourism Organization. (2020b). World Tourism Barometer, 18(3). Retrieved July 22, 2020, from https://www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/wtobarometereng.2020.18.1.3

World Tourism Organization. (2020c). Impact assessment of the Covid-19 outbreak on international tourism. Retrieved February 3, 2021, from https://www.unwto.org/impact-assessment-of-the-covid-19-outbreak-on-international-tourism

World Tourism Organization. (2021). 2020: A year in review. Retrieved February 3, 2021, from https://www.unwto.org/covid-19-and-tourism-2020

World Travel & Tourism Council. (2020a). Global economic impact & trends 2020. Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://wttc.org/Research/Economic-Impact

World Travel & Tourism Council. (2020b). Initiatives: Sustainable growth. Retrieved July 4, 2020, from https://wttc.org/Initiatives/Sustainable-Growth

Zaman, K., Shahbaz, M., Loganathan, N., & Raza, S. (2016). Tourism development, energy consumption and Environmental Kuznets Curve: Tri-variate analysis in the panel of developed and developing countries. Tourism Management, 54, 275–283. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2015.12.001

Zenker, S., & Kock, F. (2020). The coronavirus pandemic – A critical discussion of a tourism research agenda. Tourism Management, 81, 104164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2020.104164

Zenker, S., von Wallpach, S., Braun, E., & Vallaster, C. (2019). How the refugee crisis impacts the decision structure of tourists: A cross-country scenario study. Tourism Management, 71, 197–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2018.10.015

Zhang, J.-T., Xiang, C., & Li, M. (2012). Integrative ecological sensitivity (IES) applied to assessment of eco-tourism impact on forest vegetation landscape: A case from the Baihua Mountain Reserve of Beijing, China. Ecological Indicators, 18, 365–370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2011.12.001

Zhang, L., & Gao, J. (2016). Exploring the effects of international tourism on China’s economic growth, energy consumption and environmental pollution: Evidence from a regional panel analysis. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 53, 225–234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.08.040